Bath City 2-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.86/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.72
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Truro City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.09.2023 Truro City Truro City 1-1 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
2-1
AWAY Truro City
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City nicked a narrow win over Truro City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bath City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bath City had 59% of the ball to Truro City's 41%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Truro City?

Bath City 2-1 Truro City in the England - Conference on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bath City 45%, draw 29%, Truro City 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bath City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bath City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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