Dover Athletic 0-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 52%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.94/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.61
-24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
0W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Albans City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.09.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
25.03.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
03.12.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City squeezed past Dover Athletic 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Albans City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St. Albans City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dover Athletic and 1.33 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs St. Albans City?

Dover Athletic 0-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 35%, draw 23%, St. Albans City 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Albans City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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