Chippenham Town 4-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.38
6+ Goals
6%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.66/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.97
+29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Welling United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
25.02.2023 Welling United Welling United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
12.02.2022 Welling United Welling United 1-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
09.10.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
12.12.2020 Welling United Welling United 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
4-1
AWAY Welling United
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town cruised past Welling United 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chippenham Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 49% of the ball to Welling United's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.17 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Welling United?

Chippenham Town 4-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 41%, draw 27%, Welling United 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chippenham Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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