Lübnan U23 2-4 Güney Kore U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
65%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+5.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
65%
Away Win
68%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübnan U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore U23 EU Bookmakers 71%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.33/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.41/0.17
+150% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
Crosses 24.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübnan U23
2-4
AWAY Güney Kore U23
0.41 xG 2.57
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
204 Passes 538
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lübnan U23 vs Güney Kore U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore U23 saw off Lübnan U23 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Güney Kore U23 as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lübnan U23 had 33% of the ball to Güney Kore U23's 67%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.41 to 2.57.

What was the final score of Lübnan U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Lübnan U23 2-4 Güney Kore U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübnan U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lübnan U23 17%, draw 19%, Güney Kore U23 65%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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