BAE U23 0-3 Japonya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.78
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+0.5pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.8pp
71%
Away Win
71%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 75%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.45/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.50
-36% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -54%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.0
13.0 Crosses 36.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BAE U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Japonya U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 2.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
249 Passes 350
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.04.2024 BAE U23 BAE U23 0-2 HT 0-1 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCU23
03.06.2022 BAE U23 BAE U23 1-2 HT 0-0 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BAE U23
0-3
AWAY Japonya U23
0.11 xG 2.94
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
234 Passes 384
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BAE U23 vs Japonya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 cruised past BAE U23 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Japonya U23 as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, BAE U23 had 39% of the ball to Japonya U23's 61%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.11 to 2.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Japonya U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BAE U23 and 2.00 for Japonya U23.

What was the final score of BAE U23 vs Japonya U23?

BAE U23 0-3 Japonya U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BAE U23 vs Japonya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split BAE U23 11%, draw 18%, Japonya U23 71%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Over 2.5
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