Suriye U23 1-0 Katar U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suriye U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suriye U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Katar U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.24 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
225 Passes 294
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.01.2020 Katar U23 Katar U23 2-2 HT 2-1 Suriye U23 Suriye U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suriye U23
1-0
AWAY Katar U23
1.59 xG 0.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
286 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Suriye U23 vs Katar U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suriye U23 squeezed past Katar U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Katar U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Suriye U23 had 52% of the ball to Katar U23's 48%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Suriye U23 vs Katar U23?

Suriye U23 1-0 Katar U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suriye U23 vs Katar U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katar U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suriye U23 32%, draw 27%, Katar U23 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Katar U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katar U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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