Hauts Lyon 1-3 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
73%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.41
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
26.5
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X
4%
33.0
X/1
3%
29.5
X/2
18%
3.82
X/X
11%
9.95
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
45%
1.32
2/X
4%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
6%
+2.5pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.6pp
73%
Away Win
81%
-8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hauts Lyon EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 85%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.32/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.82/0.13
-67% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +129% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.2
7.0 Crosses 22.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hauts Lyon
1-3
AWAY Lorient
0.85 xG 1.86
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 Passes 441
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 43
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hauts Lyon vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient got the better of Hauts Lyon 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Hauts Lyon had 38% of the ball to Lorient's 62%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.85 to 1.86.

What was the final score of Hauts Lyon vs Lorient?

Hauts Lyon 1-3 Lorient in the France - Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hauts Lyon vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Hauts Lyon 8%, draw 19%, Lorient 73%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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