Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.10
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
27.04.2025 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MALTP
13.03.2025 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-1 HT 0-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MALTP
13.12.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTAS
29.11.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
25.10.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-0
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans squeezed past Sliema Wanderers 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 44% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sliema Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 1.00 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers?

Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 54%, draw 25%, Sliema Wanderers 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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10 Jan 2026
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