Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.07/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.64
-8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
25.02.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
21.10.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
11.03.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 3-1 HT 2-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
05.12.2021 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers and Hamrun Spartans couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sliema Wanderers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 59% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 41%, shots finished 6-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 1.20 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?

Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 41%, draw 27%, Hamrun Spartans 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Nov 2024
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