Birkirkara 2-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+12.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +23%
1.39/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.76
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mosta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-1 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
24.02.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
21.10.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.04.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 4-3 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTAK
11.03.2023 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 1-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
29.10.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-2 HT 1-2 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
2-0
AWAY Mosta
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara got the better of Mosta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Birkirkara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Birkirkara had 49% of the ball to Mosta's 51%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Birkirkara and 1.33 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Mosta?

Birkirkara 2-0 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 39%, draw 27%, Mosta 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5
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