ES Tunis 4-0 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 34% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.01/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.37
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ben Guerdane
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-3 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TNUSK
22.11.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
01.06.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
02.03.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-2 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
22.02.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 4-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TNUSK
26.06.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Tunis
4-0
AWAY Ben Guerdane
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis cruised past Ben Guerdane 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, ES Tunis had 71% of the ball to Ben Guerdane's 29%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ES Tunis and 0.50 for Ben Guerdane.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Ben Guerdane?

ES Tunis 4-0 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 66%, draw 25%, Ben Guerdane 9%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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