Scunthorpe United 0-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Feb 2024

Scunthorpe United
0-1 HT 0-1
Curzon Ashton
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Scunthorpe United v Curzon Ashton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +27%
2.10/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.46
+10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON

Scunthorpe United 0-1 Curzon Ashton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
0-1
AWAY Curzon Ashton
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton squeezed past Scunthorpe United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 58% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 42%, shots finished 12-2.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton?

Scunthorpe United 0-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 50%, draw 26%, Curzon Ashton 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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