Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.74/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.62
+10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Guiseley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
08.11.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 0-2 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.12.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 1-2 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
1-1
AWAY Guiseley
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United and Guiseley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Ashton United had 54% of the ball to Guiseley's 46%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ashton United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ashton United and 0.75 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Guiseley?

Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 38%, draw 28%, Guiseley 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ashton United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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