Leiston 1-2 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.69/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.48
+7% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Barwell
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 2-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
08.04.2023 Leiston Leiston 2-0 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
06.02.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 1-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
16.10.2021 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
1-2
AWAY Barwell
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell edged past Leiston 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Barwell found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leiston had 56% of the ball to Barwell's 44%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leiston and 1.40 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Barwell?

Leiston 1-2 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leiston 38%, draw 30%, Barwell 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiston), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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