Morpeth Town 1-3 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.8pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
2.09/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.75
+26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 3-3 HT 2-3 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.04.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 1-0 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.10.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
16.04.2022 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 3-2 HT 3-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
24.08.2021 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-3 HT 1-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
03.11.2020 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bamber Bridge saw off Morpeth Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Morpeth Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Morpeth Town and 2.00 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Bamber Bridge?

Morpeth Town 1-3 Bamber Bridge in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 44%, draw 24%, Bamber Bridge 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Morpeth Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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