Stamford 2-2 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.84/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.21
-3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stamford
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stamford vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford and AFC Sudbury shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stamford at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Stamford vs AFC Sudbury?

Stamford 2-2 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stamford 47%, draw 28%, AFC Sudbury 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stamford), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stamford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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