Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Feb 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-1 HT 1-0
Elversberg
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.42
X/2
7%
8.05
X/X
8%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.6
2/2
19%
5.56
2/X
10%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.6 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Elversberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.62/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.85
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
25.2 Crosses 10.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Elversberg
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.61 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
439 Passes 421
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 31
30 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 0-5 HT 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 Elversberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-1
AWAY Elversberg
1.29 xG 1.28
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
565 Passes 325
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Elversberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 62% of the ball to Elversberg's 38%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.29 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 41%, draw 26%, Elversberg 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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