Magdeburg vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Magdeburg v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Magdeburg vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Magdeburg
AL2
1-2
HT 1-0
St. Pauli
AL2
3-0
HT 2-0
Magdeburg
AL2
2-3
HT 1-2
St. Pauli
AFK
4-1
HT 1-1
Magdeburg
AL2
1-2
HT 1-1
St. Pauli
AL2
Magdeburg 1-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Magdeburg squeezed past St. Pauli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Magdeburg had 49% of the ball to St. Pauli's 51%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.93 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Magdeburg and 2.33 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Magdeburg vs St. Pauli?
Magdeburg 1-0 St. Pauli in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 32%, draw 27%, St. Pauli 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Pauli), BTTS Yes went the other way.