Kaiserslautern 1-2 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Feb 2024

Kaiserslautern
1-2 HT 1-0
Paderborn
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.02
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
19%
5.07
X/2
12%
6.25
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.49
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.7 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Paderborn
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
281 Passes 401
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
17.02.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
12.08.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
12.02.2016 Paderborn Paderborn 0-4 HT 0-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
24.08.2015 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
13.12.2013 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2

Kaiserslautern 1-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
1-2
AWAY Paderborn
0.97 xG 1.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
185 Passes 413
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn squeezed past Kaiserslautern 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kaiserslautern at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 36% of the ball to Paderborn's 64%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.97 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kaiserslautern and 0.67 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn?

Kaiserslautern 1-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 43%, draw 24%, Paderborn 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kaiserslautern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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