BDF XI 1-1 Orapa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bostvana - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BDF XI The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Orapa United The Market 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BDF XI
1-1
AWAY Orapa United
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH BDF XI vs Orapa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BDF XI and Orapa United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was BDF XI at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BDF XI had 46% of the ball to Orapa United's 54%, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of BDF XI vs Orapa United?

BDF XI 1-1 Orapa United in the Bostvana - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BDF XI vs Orapa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a BDF XI win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BDF XI 44%, draw 24%, Orapa United 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BDF XI) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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