10/02/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Holy Ghost vs VTM Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
25%
4-5
31%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
57%
27%
Draw
24%
24%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holy Ghost v VTM — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Holy Ghost
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
VTM
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
386 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Holy Ghost vs VTM Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Holy Ghost
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
VTM
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Holy Ghost vs VTM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
VTM beat Holy Ghost 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Holy Ghost at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Holy Ghost vs VTM?
Holy Ghost 1-3 VTM in the Bostvana - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holy Ghost vs VTM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Holy Ghost win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Holy Ghost 50%, draw 27%, VTM 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Holy Ghost)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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