10/02/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Nico United vs Matebele Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
37%
4-5
20%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
35%
26%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nico United v Matebele — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nico United
The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Matebele
The Market 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-59% /
-59%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
-100%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
5
270 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Nico United vs Matebele
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nico United and Matebele shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Nico United vs Matebele?
Nico United 1-1 Matebele in the Bostvana - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nico United vs Matebele?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nico United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nico United 39%, draw 26%, Matebele 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nico United), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Nico United)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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