Les Sables 1-4 Niort II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
33%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
41%
+8.8pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Les Sables The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Niort II The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Les Sables vs Niort II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niort II swept aside Les Sables 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Les Sables at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Les Sables vs Niort II?

Les Sables 1-4 Niort II in the France - National League 3 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Les Sables vs Niort II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Les Sables win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Les Sables 49%, draw 22%, Niort II 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Les Sables) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Les Sables) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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