10/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Sochaux II vs Dijon II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
42%
28%
Draw
30%
34%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sochaux II v Dijon II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sochaux II
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dijon II
The Market 32%
-27% /
-27%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
321 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sochaux II vs Dijon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sochaux II saw off Dijon II 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sochaux II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Sochaux II vs Dijon II?
Sochaux II 2-0 Dijon II in the France - National League 3 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sochaux II vs Dijon II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sochaux II 38%, draw 28%, Dijon II 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sochaux II)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
10 Feb 2024