Almere City 0-0 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.27
6+ Goals
14%
21.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.27 — our 25% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.81
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
6%
16.45
X/1
10%
9.15
X/2
10%
3.73
X/X
14%
4.39
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.25
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+11.0pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.63 xG 1.68
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
197 Passes 420
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-1 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
26.10.2017 Almere City Almere City 0-4 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
0-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.55 xG 1.05
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
158 Passes 405
57% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City and AZ Alkmaar played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almere City had 35% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 65%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.55 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Almere City and 4.00 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar?

Almere City 0-0 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Almere City 25%, draw 28%, AZ Alkmaar 46%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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