Academico Viseu vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academico Viseu v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Academico Viseu vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Academico Viseu
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
1-2
HT 0-1
Academico Viseu
POR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Academico Viseu
POR2
1-2
HT 1-0
Academico Viseu
POR2
Academico Viseu 1-0 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Academico Viseu squeezed past Penafiel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Academico Viseu as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Academico Viseu had 52% of the ball to Penafiel's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.39 to 1.23 — on chances, Penafiel could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academico Viseu and 0.67 for Penafiel.
What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Penafiel?
Academico Viseu 1-0 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Penafiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 46%, draw 27%, Penafiel 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.