Nacional vs Vilaverdense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Vilaverdense — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Vilaverdense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Nacional
POR2
Nacional 3-2 Vilaverdense — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional squeezed past Vilaverdense 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Nacional had 60% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 40%, shots finished 28-9, expected goals 1.74 to 0.97.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Vilaverdense?
Nacional 3-2 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Vilaverdense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nacional 54%, draw 26%, Vilaverdense 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.