Benfica II 1-1 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.83
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.53/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.47
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 20.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leixoes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.88 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
25.02.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
03.09.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
20.03.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 2-3 HT 0-2 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
30.10.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
21.03.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
1-1
AWAY Leixoes
1.15 xG 1.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
289 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II and Leixoes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Benfica II had 48% of the ball to Leixoes's 52%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.15 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Benfica II and 1.33 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Leixoes?

Benfica II 1-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 48%, draw 26%, Leixoes 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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