Boavista 2-1 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

Boavista
2-1 HT 2-0
Estoril
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Boavista vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.51
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.44
X/2
15%
5.8
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
3.83
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.42/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.37
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.5 Crosses 23.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Boavista vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Estoril
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
297 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Estoril Estoril 1-2 HT 1-2 Boavista Boavista POR
06.05.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
09.02.2023 Estoril Estoril 2-1 HT 0-1 Boavista Boavista POR
27.02.2022 Estoril Estoril 2-3 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
27.09.2021 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
13.12.2020 Estoril Estoril 2-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POK

Boavista 2-1 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
2-1
AWAY Estoril
1.12 xG 1.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
265 Passes 437
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista nicked a narrow win over Estoril 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Boavista found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Boavista had 41% of the ball to Estoril's 59%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.12 to 1.97 — on chances, Estoril could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Boavista and 1.33 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Estoril?

Boavista 2-1 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boavista win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boavista 40%, draw 25%, Estoril 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boavista), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boavista) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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