Farense 1-1 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

Farense
1-1 HT 0-1
Famalicao
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Farense vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.36
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
18%
5.76
X/2
12%
5.01
X/X
14%
3.77
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.57
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farense v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.43/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.28
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
25.1 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Farense vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Famalicao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.03
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
197 Passes 406
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR
27.02.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR
18.10.2020 Farense Farense 3-3 HT 2-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
25.10.2015 Famalicao Famalicao 2-1 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR2

Farense 1-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
1-1
AWAY Famalicao
1.55 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
251 Passes 318
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Farense vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense and Famalicao couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Farense had 46% of the ball to Famalicao's 54%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 1.55 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Farense and 1.50 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Farense vs Famalicao?

Farense 1-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Farense 35%, draw 30%, Famalicao 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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