Casertana 0-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.79/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.82
-26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
11.05.2024 Casertana Casertana 0-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
07.03.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
29.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-4 HT 0-2 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
0-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola squeezed past Casertana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Casertana had 47% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Casertana and 0.75 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Audace Cerignola?

Casertana 0-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Casertana 26%, draw 29%, Audace Cerignola 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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