Ternana 3-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.03/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.53
+29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 1-2 Ternana Ternana İTC
28.01.2006 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
17.09.2005 Arezzo Arezzo 3-1 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
20.02.2005 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-1 Ternana Ternana İTB
06.10.2004 Ternana Ternana 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
3-1
AWAY Arezzo
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana saw off Arezzo 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ternana had 52% of the ball to Arezzo's 48%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ternana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ternana and 1.20 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Arezzo?

Ternana 3-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ternana 43%, draw 28%, Arezzo 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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