Arezzo 1-2 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.69
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.27/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.65
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ternana
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
28.01.2006 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
17.09.2005 Arezzo Arezzo 3-1 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
20.02.2005 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-1 Ternana Ternana İTB
06.10.2004 Ternana Ternana 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-2
AWAY Ternana
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana nicked a narrow win over Arezzo 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Ternana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arezzo had 60% of the ball to Ternana's 40%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ternana led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Arezzo and 1.25 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Ternana?

Arezzo 1-2 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 37%, draw 29%, Ternana 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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