Pianese 0-1 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.4pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.10
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
0-1
AWAY Sestri Levante
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestri Levante nicked a narrow win over Pianese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and on the day Sestri Levante made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Pianese had 54% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 46%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Sestri Levante?

Pianese 0-1 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pianese 38%, draw 35%, Sestri Levante 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pianese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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