Legnago Salus 2-1 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.92/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
2-1
AWAY Pineto
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus squeezed past Pineto 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Legnago Salus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 39% of the ball to Pineto's 61%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Pineto?

Legnago Salus 2-1 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 31%, draw 29%, Pineto 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pineto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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