Pontedera 1-2 Campobasso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Campobasso EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.43/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.80
+18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-2
AWAY Campobasso
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Campobasso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso nicked a narrow win over Pontedera 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pontedera at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pontedera had 52% of the ball to Campobasso's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Campobasso?

Pontedera 1-2 Campobasso in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Campobasso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 46%, draw 27%, Campobasso 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontedera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontedera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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