Ascoli 0-1 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 31% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
23%
+11.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.35/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
-7% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Rimini
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.03.2009 Rimini Rimini 0-1 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
03.11.2008 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Rimini Rimini İTB
09.02.2008 Rimini Rimini 3-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
09.09.2007 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-1
AWAY Rimini
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini squeezed past Ascoli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ascoli had 57% of the ball to Rimini's 43%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ascoli and 1.00 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Rimini?

Ascoli 0-1 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 42%, draw 24%, Rimini 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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