SPAL 0-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

SPAL
0-2 HT 0-1
Virtus Entella
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

SPAL vs Virtus Entella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.66
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SPAL v Virtus Entella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.30/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.01
+6% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

SPAL vs Virtus Entella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.48 xG 0.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-2 HT 1-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
09.12.2023 SPAL SPAL 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
12.03.2021 SPAL SPAL 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
30.11.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTB
11.02.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-3 HT 0-3 SPAL SPAL İTB
17.09.2016 SPAL SPAL 2-2 HT 2-2 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB

SPAL 0-2 Virtus Entella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
0-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella got the better of SPAL 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Virtus Entella found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SPAL had 54% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 46%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SPAL had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SPAL and 0.50 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Virtus Entella?

SPAL 0-2 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split SPAL 35%, draw 31%, Virtus Entella 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SPAL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SPAL) ✓ Under 2.5
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