Almirante Brown 1-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.67
No
71%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
29%
BTTS Yes
33%
-3.8pp
71%
BTTS No
67%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
0.98/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.14
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
25.08.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
06.04.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
27.08.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
15.04.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
18.06.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
14.07.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown and Deportivo Moron shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (71%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almirante Brown and 1.17 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?

Almirante Brown 1-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almirante Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 37%, draw 32%, Deportivo Moron 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Almirante Brown), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almirante Brown) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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