USM Alger 1-0 MC Magra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 10 Feb 2025

USM Alger
1-0
MC Magra
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Algeria - National Cup – 2024/2025

USM Alger vs MC Magra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.71
Over 2.5
57%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
6+ Goals
11%
18.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
55%
-11.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
45%
+11.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v MC Magra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Magra EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
472 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.3 Yellow Cards –

USM Alger vs MC Magra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-3D-1L
AWAY MC Magra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2024 MC Magra MC Magra 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
14.06.2024 MC Magra MC Magra 2-3 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
28.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 3-1 HT 1-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
04.07.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
29.11.2022 MC Magra MC Magra 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
29.04.2022 MC Magra MC Magra 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR

USM Alger 1-0 MC Magra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-0
AWAY MC Magra
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs MC Magra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger squeezed past MC Magra 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 54% of the ball to MC Magra's 46%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for USM Alger and 0.83 for MC Magra.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs MC Magra?

USM Alger 1-0 MC Magra in the Algeria - National Cup on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs MC Magra?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 57%, draw 26%, MC Magra 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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