MC Magra 2-3 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.57
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Magra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.55/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.85
-43% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Magra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY USM Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 3-1 HT 1-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
04.07.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
29.11.2022 MC Magra MC Magra 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
29.04.2022 MC Magra MC Magra 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
03.01.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 4-1 HT 2-1 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
27.07.2021 MC Magra MC Magra 2-1 HT 2-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Magra
2-3
AWAY USM Alger
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH MC Magra vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger nicked a narrow win over MC Magra 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; USM Alger found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MC Magra had 50% of the ball to USM Alger's 50%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MC Magra and 1.50 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of MC Magra vs USM Alger?

MC Magra 2-3 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Magra vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated an USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MC Magra 35%, draw 28%, USM Alger 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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