Paradou 2-0 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
7%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.05/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradou
1W-0D-2L
AWAY USM Khenchela
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 1-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
01.04.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 3-0 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
02.10.2022 Paradou Paradou 0-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradou
2-0
AWAY USM Khenchela
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Paradou vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradou beat USM Khenchela 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Paradou made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Paradou had 50% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paradou and 1.67 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of Paradou vs USM Khenchela?

Paradou 2-0 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paradou 36%, draw 28%, USM Khenchela 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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