Rostov 4-0 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Feb 2025

Rostov
4-0 HT 3-0
Dinamo Moscow
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
18%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.32
1/2
9%
23.85
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
10%
5.22
X/X
9%
5.14
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.1
2/X
10%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.51/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.49
+5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
259 Passes 324
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-4 HT 0-3 Rostov Rostov RUS
03.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
06.11.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
18.10.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
31.08.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov swept aside Dinamo Moscow 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Rostov found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rostov and 1.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Rostov 4-0 Dinamo Moscow in the Friendlies on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rostov 32%, draw 28%, Dinamo Moscow 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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