Arouca 1-1 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 10 Feb 2025

Arouca
1-1 HT 0-0
Rio Ave
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Arouca vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.81
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.74
X/2
8%
7.4
X/X
12%
4.32
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.65
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arouca v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arouca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.24/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.6 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Arouca vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arouca
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rio Ave
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
412 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 1-0 Arouca Arouca POR
19.04.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 1-0 Arouca Arouca POR
10.12.2023 Arouca Arouca 2-2 HT 0-2 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
30.07.2023 Arouca Arouca 2-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave PORLC
28.04.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 0-0 Arouca Arouca POR
12.11.2022 Arouca Arouca 0-1 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR

Arouca 1-1 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arouca
1-1
AWAY Rio Ave
1.93 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
330 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arouca vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arouca and Rio Ave shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Arouca had 48% of the ball to Rio Ave's 52%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.93 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arouca and 1.00 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Arouca vs Rio Ave?

Arouca 1-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arouca vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arouca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arouca 40%, draw 31%, Rio Ave 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arouca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arouca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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