Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 10 Feb 2026

Chengdu Qianbao
0-1 HT 0-0
Buriram United
📅10/02/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2026

Chengdu Qianbao vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
49%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.37
6+ Goals
7%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
30%
3.87
1/2
3%
28.0
1/X
4%
13.25
X/1
5%
5.83
X/2
13%
5.69
X/X
16%
4.78
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.72
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.87 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chengdu Qianbao v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
– Crosses 13.3
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
0-1
AWAY Buriram United
0.34 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
343 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United squeezed past Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 58% of the ball to Buriram United's 42%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.34 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Buriram United?

Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 Buriram United in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 44%, draw 26%, Buriram United 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Under 2.5
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