Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Johor DT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 10 Feb 2026

📅10/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.19
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
11%
4.35
X/2
6%
9.68
X/X
8%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.25
2/2
8%
7.46
2/X
7%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Johor DT EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.74/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.13
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
14.5 Crosses 14.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-1
AWAY Johor DT
2.43 xG 0.65
78% Ball Possession 22%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
603 Passes 130
92% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Johor DT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima edged past Johor DT 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 78% of the ball to Johor DT's 22%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.43 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sanfrecce Hiroshima's control.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Johor DT?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Johor DT in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Johor DT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56%, draw 23%, Johor DT 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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