Recreativo Huelva 1-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.61
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.36/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.81
+10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-2 HT 0-1 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Recreativo Huelva vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recreativo Huelva and Atletico Madrid II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Recreativo Huelva at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Recreativo Huelva had 52% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 48%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Recreativo Huelva vs Atletico Madrid II?

Recreativo Huelva 1-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recreativo Huelva vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recreativo Huelva win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Recreativo Huelva 43%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid II 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Recreativo Huelva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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