Servette 3-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 29% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
8%
9.22
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
12%
6.93
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.96/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.80
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.4 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
366 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
30.09.2023 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
03.04.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 4-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
05.02.2022 Servette Servette 1-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
28.11.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-3 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
25.09.2021 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
3-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
4.28 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
29 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
261 Passes 269
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
48 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Servette vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette saw off Lausanne Sports 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Servette had 50% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 50%, shots finished 29-10, expected goals 4.28 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Servette and 1.17 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Servette vs Lausanne Sports?

Servette 3-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Servette 47%, draw 27%, Lausanne Sports 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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