Young Boys 5-1 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
11%
8.39
X/X
14%
5.34
2/1
13%
22.3
2/2
11%
5.92
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.83/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.56
+46% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
24.5 Crosses 15.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Basel
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 Passes 295
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
08.10.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
16.04.2023 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
04.04.2023 Basel Basel 2-4 HT 0-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
19.03.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
30.10.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
5-1
AWAY Basel
2.41 xG 1.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
279 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys ran out comfortable winners over Basel 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Young Boys had 41% of the ball to Basel's 59%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.41 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Young Boys and 0.83 for Basel.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Basel?

Young Boys 5-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 47%, draw 24%, Basel 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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