Basel 1-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Jan 2024

Basel
1-0 HT 1-0
Young Boys
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Basel vs Young Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.0
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
12%
6.17
X/2
13%
5.41
X/X
9%
4.7
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
22%
3.32
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.0
Value flag · 2/X at 12.0 — our 10% vs market 5.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel v Young Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.54/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.30
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.6 Crosses 22.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Basel vs Young Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.09 xG 1.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
292 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
16.04.2023 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
04.04.2023 Basel Basel 2-4 HT 0-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
19.03.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
30.10.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
07.08.2022 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV

Basel 1-0 Young Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-0
AWAY Young Boys
1.31 xG 0.40
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
240 Passes 410
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel nicked a narrow win over Young Boys 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Young Boys at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basel had 39% of the ball to Young Boys's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.31 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Basel and 2.33 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Basel vs Young Boys?

Basel 1-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Basel 34%, draw 26%, Young Boys 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
27 Jan 2024
20:00 Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur Analysis →
20:00 Servette vs Yverdon Analysis →